Published: 24th September 2026 The Reassessment The initial bias on the dollar index was bearish, anticipating a move lower. Price has instead pushed higher and retraced to a point where that count is more likely wrong. Rather than force the original thesis, the read has been revised. The New Count Price action now looks like a complex correction rather than the start of a fresh downtrend. The structure suggests there is potentially one more wave to the upside, targeting the

Rating: Tightening Regime | Bias: Dollar Bullish Fundamentally, Correction Expected Technically The Big Picture Three central banks, three hikes, one driver. The Fed, the ECB and the Bank of Japan have all tightened, and energy prices sit behind all of it. This is now a synchronised tightening cycle rather than a series of isolated decisions, and it reframes how every asset on the watchlist needs to be read. Where it gets interesting is the gap between the fundamental pictu

Rating: Constructive, Medium Conviction | Bias: Selective · Watching for the Cracks to Widen The Big Picture Gold is the headline asset this week, rallying sharply on news of $40 trillion in US debt. That headline is not a single-week story, it is the latest and loudest expression of a structural theme that has been building for some time: diminishing confidence in the dollar's role as the world's reserve currency and growing questions about the sustainability of US sovereign

Breakdown of key markets to focus on in the current risk-off sentiment..

Rating: Risk-Off with Geopolitical Uncertainty Bias: Bearish Equities (Selective) / Cautious Bullish Oil & USD Timeframe: Short-Term to Intermediate Price movements remains dominated by the ongoing US-Israel-Iran conflict, now entering its second full week with no clear resolution in sight. Escalation persists: strikes have targeted Iranian energy infrastructure (refineries, storage sites in Tehran), Iran continues retaliatory drone/missile launches across Gulf states, and

📦 Quick Overview 📊 Market: US Dollar Index (DXY) 🧭 Bias: Neutral → Bearish (until proven otherwise) 📉 Structure: Corrective, choppy, range-bound ⚠️ Drivers: Upcoming inflation data + thinning holiday liquidity 🎯 Plan: Wait for range resolution before committing 🧠 Market Context: Uncertainty Dominates There is growing uncertainty around the US Dollar with inflation data due for release and the holiday season approaching , a period that often sees reduced market pa

📦 Quick Overview 📊 Theme: Fed cuts, DXY structure, and near-term outlook 🧭 Macro Signal: Fed move priced in — market unfazed 📉...

📦 Quick Overview 📊 Theme: CPI results, Fed rate expectations, and USD trajectory 🧭 Macro Signal: Fed cuts likely priced in, but...

🟦 Quick Overview 📈 Bias : Short-term Bearish → Medium-term Bullish 🎯 Signal : Watch for Reversal Zone Around $94 🧭 Why : Structure...