Credit is leading equity. Short RTY and short Nasdaq on the rising cost of credit, with a dollar short forming but not yet triggered.

Published: 24th September 2026 The Reassessment The initial bias on the dollar index was bearish, anticipating a move lower. Price has instead pushed higher and retraced to a point where that count is more likely wrong. Rather than force the original thesis, the read has been revised. The New Count Price action now looks like a complex correction rather than the start of a fresh downtrend. The structure suggests there is potentially one more wave to the upside, targeting the

Rating: Tightening Regime | Bias: Dollar Bullish Fundamentally, Correction Expected Technically The Big Picture Three central banks, three hikes, one driver. The Fed, the ECB and the Bank of Japan have all tightened, and energy prices sit behind all of it. This is now a synchronised tightening cycle rather than a series of isolated decisions, and it reframes how every asset on the watchlist needs to be read. Where it gets interesting is the gap between the fundamental pictu

Rating: Quiet Week, Dominated by One Catalyst | Bias: Technical Led, Fundamental Conflicts Flagged, Watchlist Heavy The Big Picture Not much fresh news to work with this week, so the entire macro picture is being shaped by one event: Kevin Warsh's Jackson Hole speech. His tone was unexpectedly hawkish, a clear reaffirmation of the 2% inflation target with a strong suggestion that rates may need to rise further. The market reaction was immediate and telling. Fed rate hike pr

📦 Quick Overview 📊 Market: US Dollar Index (DXY) 🧭 Bias: Neutral → Bearish (until proven otherwise) 📉 Structure: Corrective, choppy, range-bound ⚠️ Drivers: Upcoming inflation data + thinning holiday liquidity 🎯 Plan: Wait for range resolution before committing 🧠 Market Context: Uncertainty Dominates There is growing uncertainty around the US Dollar with inflation data due for release and the holiday season approaching , a period that often sees reduced market pa

📦 Quick Overview 📊 Theme: Fed cuts, DXY structure, and near-term outlook 🧭 Macro Signal: Fed move priced in — market unfazed 📉...

📦 Quick Overview 📊 Theme: Bond yields, Fed rate policy, and technical structure 🧠 Macro Signal: Market is leaning toward a Fed cut...

📦 Quick Overview 📊 Theme: CPI results, Fed rate expectations, and USD trajectory 🧭 Macro Signal: Fed cuts likely priced in, but...

🟦 Quick Overview 📈 Bias : Short-term Bearish → Medium-term Bullish 🎯 Signal : Watch for Reversal Zone Around $94 🧭 Why : Structure...